New Preprint on Reporting Errors in COVID-19 Research (a Registered Report)

The COVID-19 outbreak has led to an exponential increase of publications and preprints about the virus, its causes, consequences, and possible cures. COVID-19 research has been conducted under high time pressure and has been subject to financial and societal interests. Doing research under such pressure may influence the scrutiny with which researchers perform and write up their studies. Either researchers become more diligent, because of the high-stakes nature of the research, or the time pressure may lead to cutting corners and lower quality output.

In this study, we conducted a natural experiment to compare the prevalence of incorrectly reported statistics in a stratified random sample of COVID-19 preprints and a matched sample of non-COVID-19 preprints.

Our results show that the overall prevalence of incorrectly reported statistics is 9-10%, but frequentist as well as Bayesian hypothesis tests show no difference in the number of statistical inconsistencies between COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 preprints.

Taken together with previous research, our results suggest that the danger of hastily conducting and writing up research lies primarily in the risk of conducting methodologically inferior studies, and perhaps not in the statistical reporting quality.

You can find the full preprint here: https://psyarxiv.com/asbfd/.

Seed Funding for COVID-19 Project

I am happy to announce that Robbie van Aert, Jelte Wicherts, and I received seed funding from the Herbert Simon Research Institute for our project to screen COVID-19 preprints for statistical inconsistencies.

Inconsistencies can distort conclusions, but even if inconsistencies are small, they negatively affect the reproducibility of a paper (i.e., where did a number come from?). Statistical reproducibility is a basic requirement for any scientific paper.

We plan to check a random sample of COVID-19 preprints from medRxiv and bioRxiv for several types of statistical inconsistencies. E.g., does a percentage match the accompanying fraction? Do the TP/TN/FP/FN rates match the reported sensitivity of a test?

We have 3 main objectives:

  1. Post short reports with detected statistical inconsistencies underneath the preprint
  2. Assess the prevalence of statistical inconsistencies in COVID-19 preprints
  3. Compare the inconsistency-rate in COVID-19 preprints with the inconsistency-rate in similar preprints on other topics

We hypothesize that high time pressure may have led to a higher prevalence of statistical inconsistencies in COVID-19 preprints as opposed to preprints on less time sensitive issues.

We thank our colleagues at the Meta-Research Center for their feedback and help in developing the coding protocol.

See the full proposal here.

New Paper: Reproducibility of Individual Effect Sizes in Psychological Meta-Analyses

I am happy to announce that our paper “Reproducibility of individual effect sizes in meta-analyses in psychology” was published in PLoS One (first-authored by Esther Maassen). In this study, we assessed 500 primary effect sizes from 33 psychology meta-analyses. Reproducibility was problematic in 45% of the cases (see Figure below for different causes). We strongly recommend meta-analysts to share their data and code.

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Top Downloaded Paper

I am very happy to announced that my paper “Practical tools and strategies for researchers to increase replicability” was listed as a Top Download for the journal Developmental Medicine & Child Neurology.

The paper lists an overview of concrete actions researchers can undertake to improve the openness, replicability, and overall robustness of their work.

I hope that the high number of downloads indicate that many researchers were able to cherry-pick open practices that worked for their situation.

Read the full paper (open access) here.

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METAxDATA Meeting at QUEST, Berlin

Last month, the QUEST center in Berlin organized the first METAxDATA meeting on building automated screening tools for data-driven meta-research. On the first night of the meeting, 13 researchers gave lightning talks about their tools. The clip below features my <2 minute lightning talk about statcheck.

All lightning talks were recorded and can be found here.

Open Software for Open Science

At the Solid Science Workshop in Bordeaux (September 6-7, 2018), I gave a workshop about free software to facilitate solid research practices. During this workshop, we collaboratively worked on a list of resources/software/tools that can be used to improve different stages of the research process.

Check out the list, share it with colleagues, or add your own resources to it here: https://bit.ly/opensciencesoftware.

The slides of the workshop can be found here: https://osf.io/s8wpz/.

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In Press: Practical Tools and Strategies for Researchers to Increase Replicability

I wrote an invited review for Developmental Medicine & Child Neurology about “Practical tools and strategies for researchers to increase replicability”.

Problems with replicability have been widely discussed over the last years, especially in psychology. By now, a lot of promising solutions have been proposed, but my sense is that researchers are sometimes a bit overwhelmed by all the possibilities.

My goal in this review was to make a list of some of the current recommendations that can be easily implemented. Not every solutions is always feasible for every project, so my advice is: copy best practices from other fields, see what works on a case-by-case basis, and improve your research step by step.

The preprint can be found here: https://psyarxiv.com/emyux.

Dr. Nuijten

Wednesday May 30, 2018, I successfully defended my PhD thesis, which means that I can now finally call myself Dr. Nuijten!

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I thank my promotors Jelte Wicherts and Marcel van Assen for all their advice over the last 5 years, and my committee – Chris Chambers, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers, Rolf Zwaan, and Marjan Bakker – for their interesting (and fun!) questions.

My full thesis “Research on research: A meta-scientific study of problems and solutions in psychological science” can be found here.

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